{"id":359827,"date":"2025-06-28T16:55:43","date_gmt":"2025-06-28T15:55:43","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/www.withinnigeria.com\/news\/?p=359827"},"modified":"2025-06-28T16:55:43","modified_gmt":"2025-06-28T15:55:43","slug":"power-vacuum-in-apc-what-gandujes-exit-means-for-2027-politics","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/www.withinnigeria.com\/news\/2025\/06\/28\/power-vacuum-in-apc-what-gandujes-exit-means-for-2027-politics\/","title":{"rendered":"Power vacuum in APC: What Ganduje\u2019s exit means for 2027 politics"},"content":{"rendered":"
The resignation of Abdullahi Umar Ganduje as National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC) has altered the internal power dynamics of Nigeria\u2019s ruling party.<\/p>\n
Officially described as a personal decision, the move has raised critical questions about the party\u2019s direction, its leadership stability, and the strategies being considered ahead of the 2027 general elections.<\/p>\n
What this shift signals\u2014and who benefits from it\u2014will shape the months to come.<\/p>\n
Ganduje\u2019s Sudden Exit: What Really Happened<\/strong><\/h4>\nAbdullahi Ganduje<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
On June 27, 2025, the APC formally announced that Abdullahi Ganduje had stepped down as national chairman, effective immediately. Party spokesman Felix Morka confirmed that the former Kano governor had submitted his resignation through the National Secretary, Senator Ajibola Basiru.<\/p>\n
The official statement cited “personal health reasons,” but those close to the development, including senior party members and political analysts quoted by Premium Times, Punch, and Vanguard, offered a different story.<\/p>\n
Ganduje\u2019s resignation came under intense internal pressure after weeks of strategic meetings among the APC\u2019s northern powerbrokers and presidential advisers. Central to the crisis was the increasing belief within Tinubu\u2019s circle that the chairman had become politically obsolete, even obstructive.<\/p>\n
His leadership was seen as incapable of holding together the competing factions within the party, particularly at a time when the president was preparing to bring back estranged heavyweights\u2014especially Senator Rabiu Musa Kwankwaso.<\/strong><\/p>\n
The leadership had to shift. The party machinery needed to be recalibrated. Ganduje, once a loyal soldier of the Tinubu agenda, became the first major casualty of the 2027 political war.<\/p>\n
From Leadership to Vacuum: What Ganduje Controlled<\/strong><\/h4>\n
Ganduje\u2019s power within APC was not purely symbolic. As national chairman, he presided over critical components of the party\u2019s national architecture:<\/p>\n
Nomination oversight<\/strong>: He held influence over delegate selection and screening committees.<\/p>\n
Zoning structure enforcement<\/strong>: He was central to maintaining regional balance within the National Working Committee (NWC).<\/p>\n
Kano powerbase representation<\/strong>: His chairmanship was a reward for delivering APC interests in Kano\u2014until NNPP took over the state in 2023.<\/p>\n
His removal immediately created a gap in all three dimensions.<\/p>\nAli Bukar Dalori<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
The party\u2019s interim leadership now rests with Deputy Chairman (North) Ali Bukar Dalori,<\/strong> a relatively neutral figure with no expansive political machinery of his own. The APC constitution allows for this temporary step, but the party must convene a National Executive Committee (NEC) meeting\u2014or special convention\u2014before December 2025 to elect a substantive chair.<\/p>\n
Until then, the party remains in flux.<\/p>\n
Why Ganduje Was Seemingly Sacrificed: The Northern Chessboard<\/strong><\/h4>\n
At the core of Ganduje\u2019s ouster is a supposed deliberate northern repositioning.<\/p>\n
In 2023, Tinubu lost significant votes in Kano, Katsina, and Sokoto. The party underperformed in many Muslim-dominated North-West states.<\/p>\n
Meanwhile, Rabiu Kwankwaso<\/strong>, running under the NNPP banner, won Kano resoundingly and garnered over 1.4 million votes nationwide. His party seized Kano’s governorship, several House of Assembly seats, and began building regional influence.<\/p>\n
Behind closed doors, reconciliation talks between Tinubu\u2019s emissaries and Kwankwaso\u2019s handlers began as early as April 2025. However, they hit a stalemate. Kwankwaso made it clear he would not return to APC under Ganduje\u2019s chairmanship\u2014a man he had politically battled for nearly a decade.<\/p>\n
Removing Ganduje was therefore not about restructuring; it was about clearing a political obstacle to reabsorbing a formidable regional player. Kwankwaso\u2019s possible reentry into APC now becomes not just plausible, but likely.<\/p>\n
A Path for Kwankwaso: What the Power Vacuum Enables<\/strong><\/h4>\nRabiu Kwankwaso<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
With Ganduje out of the way, Kwankwaso’s demands can now be entertained.<\/p>\n
There are three key areas where his influence could reshape the APC:<\/p>\n
1. Vice Presidency<\/strong>: Should Tinubu choose to rebalance the 2027 ticket, Kwankwaso could be offered the vice-presidential slot\u2014especially if internal polling shows Shettima offers diminishing returns in the North-East.<\/p>\n
2. Ministerial Control<\/strong>: Kwankwaso may be incentivized with expanded federal control over ministries tied to education, works, or youth\u2014areas important to his movement\u2019s grassroots appeal.<\/p>\n
3. Party Merger Blueprint<\/strong>: His entry could lead to formal absorption of parts of the NNPP or a coalition-building effort targeting the North-West and North-Central regions.<\/p>\n
This recalibration hinges on the vacuum Ganduje\u2019s exit created. The former chairman would never have permitted such negotiations. His removal signals that the old lines of resistance have been lifted.<\/p>\n
The Vice Presidential Dilemma: Shettima\u2019s Position Shifts<\/strong><\/h4>\nShettima and Tinubu<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Vice President Kashim Shettima, who played a stabilizing role in the 2023 campaign, now finds himself in a more precarious position.<\/p>\n
In political terms, Shettima\u2019s North-East base lacks the voting heft of the North-West. Kano alone can deliver over 1.5 million votes. Borno and Yobe combined cannot match that figure. If APC plans to strengthen its 2027 ticket with a more populous northern running mate, Shettima becomes expendable.<\/p>\n
This is not just theoretical. Political analysts have noted that a second Tinubu-Shettima ticket may face diminishing returns if Kwankwaso is in play, or if internal resentment rises among the North-Central bloc, which remains underrepresented in both executive and party leadership.<\/p>\n
Tinubu must now choose between retaining a loyal deputy and embracing a stronger electoral gamble in the form of a new VP pick.<\/p>\n
APC Re-Zoning: The Next Chairman and Regional Tensions<\/strong><\/h4>\n
With Ganduje\u2019s North-West representation gone, APC zoning calculus will be reviewed.<\/p>\n
Historically, the national chairmanship has rotated among regions for political balance. After South-South\u2019s Adams Oshiomhole<\/strong>, the chair moved to the North-West with Ganduje<\/strong>. The next destination, logically, is the North-Central<\/strong>.<\/p>\n
Contenders for the seat include<\/strong>:<\/p>\nSenator Umaru Tanko Al-Makura<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Senator Umaru Tanko Al-Makura (Nasarawa):<\/strong> Respected elder with ties to both Tinubu and the Buhari-era Northern caucus.<\/p>\nFormer Governor George Akume (Benue)<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Former Governor George Akume (Benue):<\/strong> Though currently serving as Secretary to the Government of the Federation (SGF), he has the stature to transition if needed.<\/p>\nBabachir Lawal<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Babachir Lawal faction candidates<\/strong>: Though unlikely to secure top roles, the Christian North-Central camp will seek internal leverage.<\/p>\n
This chairman appointment will not only appease northern zones, it will signal the regional leanings of Tinubu\u2019s 2027 campaign. A misstep could cause further fractures in the party\u2019s delicate coalition.<\/p>\n
What Tinubu Gains: Strategic Consolidation Ahead of 2027<\/strong><\/h4>\nPresident Bola Tinubu<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
Despite its risks, Ganduje\u2019s ouster grants Tinubu more control than ever before.<\/p>\n
Here\u2019s what changes in his favor:<\/p>\n
Delegation Control:<\/strong> A new chairman chosen by his camp can shape the composition of 2026\/2027 national delegates.<\/p>\n
Ticket Freedom:<\/strong> Shedding loyal but unpopular figures like Ganduje gives Tinubu room to restructure the executive ticket.<\/p>\n
Party Discipline<\/strong>: The precedent shows that even long-time loyalists are not untouchable. This sends a strong internal message.<\/p>\n
With Tinubu already endorsed by APC for 2027, his strategy now involves streamlining the party\u2019s factions and eliminating voices that could derail primary dominance or resist key alliances.<\/p>\n
Internal Risks: Blowback and Distrust<\/strong><\/h4>\n
Yet, Ganduje\u2019s exit is not without consequences.<\/p>\n
1. Factional Retaliation<\/strong>: His loyalists in the Kano APC structure may resist any Kwankwaso-aligned policies. Grassroots members feel betrayed and may defect or disengage.<\/p>\n
2. Northern Power Struggles<\/strong>: The North-West now contains competing ambitions\u2014Kwankwaso, Shettima (if retained), and emerging Kaduna elites may all vie for a future stake.<\/p>\n
3. Southern Fatigue<\/strong>: Some Yoruba progressives already accuse Tinubu of favoring northern expansionism at the expense of southwestern cohesion.<\/p>\n
These internal discontents must be managed carefully. One factional revolt, particularly in Kano or the Middle Belt, could unravel APC\u2019s consolidation plans before 2027.<\/p>\n
Opposition Opportunity: Can PDP or LP Capitalize?<\/strong><\/h4>\nPeter Obi and Atiku<\/figcaption><\/figure>\n
The Peoples Democratic Party (PDP) and Labour Party (LP) are watching APC\u2019s internal reshuffle with interest.<\/p>\n
For PDP<\/strong>, which has struggled to recover since the Atiku-Obi split in 2023, Ganduje\u2019s exit is less a gift and more a warning. Their inability to reform or attract significant northern youth support leaves them politically vulnerable. If Kwankwaso returns to APC, PDP\u2019s presence in the North-West could collapse entirely.<\/p>\n
For LP,<\/strong> which has maintained an anti-establishment image, the real opening lies in southern discontent. Should Tinubu\u2019s reshuffle alienate voters in Lagos, Rivers, or Delta, Obi and his surrogates may position themselves as credible southern defenders against northern bloc dominance.<\/p>\n
Neither party, however, has yet demonstrated the organizational capacity to exploit the APC\u2019s temporary disarray.<\/p>\n
What to Expect Next: The Critical Timeline<\/strong><\/h4>\n
July\u2013October 2025<\/strong><\/p>\n
\u2013 Formal consultations begin for electing new APC chairman. \n\u2013 Kwankwaso engagement intensifies behind the scenes.<\/p>\n
November\u2013December 2025<\/strong><\/p>\n
\u2013 APC holds national convention. New chairman emerges. \n\u2013 Party may amend internal rules to allow earlier 2027 declarations.<\/p>\n
Q1 2026<\/strong><\/p>\n
\u2013 Tinubu publicly announces re-election bid. \n\u2013 Official position on VP slot expected. \n\u2013 Final defectors (Kwankwaso, others) either absorbed or sidelined.<\/p>\n
Closing Reflection: A Vacuum with a Purpose<\/strong><\/h4>\n
Ganduje\u2019s resignation is a political vacuum\u2014but not an accidental one. It is a manufactured emptiness designed to make room for a more flexible, more expansive 2027 strategy. Tinubu is not merely purging loyalists; he is reconfiguring the party\u2019s very foundation.<\/p>\n
In the short term, the APC may look divided. In reality, it is undergoing a realignment that could make it even more dominant\u2014if it survives the internal fallout.<\/p>\n
The vacuum left by Ganduje is now the most important space in Nigerian politics. Who fills it, and how Tinubu manages the consequences, will determine whether the APC consolidates power or fractures before the next election.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"
The resignation of Abdullahi Umar Ganduje as National Chairman of the All Progressives Congress (APC) has altered the internal power dynamics of Nigeria\u2019s ruling party. Officially described as a personal decision, the move has raised critical questions about the party\u2019s direction, its leadership stability, and the strategies being considered ahead of the 2027 general elections. […]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":28,"featured_media":359837,"comment_status":"open","ping_status":"closed","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"jnews-multi-image_gallery":[],"jnews_single_post":{"subtitle":"","format":"standard","override":[{"template":"2","single_blog_custom":"211693","parallax":"1","fullscreen":"1","layout":"right-sidebar","sidebar":"default-sidebar","second_sidebar":"default-sidebar","sticky_sidebar":"1","share_position":"top","share_float_style":"share-monocrhome","show_share_counter":"1","show_featured":"1","show_post_meta":"1","show_post_author":"1","show_post_author_image":"1","show_post_date":"1","post_date_format":"default","post_date_format_custom":"Y\/m\/d","show_post_category":"1","show_post_reading_time":"1","post_reading_time_wpm":"300","post_calculate_word_method":"str_word_count","show_zoom_button":"1","zoom_button_out_step":"2","zoom_button_in_step":"3","number_popup_post":"1","show_author_box":"0","show_post_related":"0","show_inline_post_related":"1"}],"image_override":[{"single_post_thumbnail_size":"crop-500","single_post_gallery_size":"crop-500"}],"trending_post_position":"meta","trending_post_label":"Trending","sponsored_post_label":"Sponsored by","disable_ad":"0"},"jnews_primary_category":[],"jnews_override_bookmark_settings":{"override_bookmark_button":"0","override_show_bookmark_button":"0"},"jnews_override_counter":{"view_counter_number":"0","share_counter_number":"0","like_counter_number":"0","dislike_counter_number":"0"},"footnotes":""},"categories":[2,4],"tags":[72898,3318,91,6769],"class_list":["post-359827","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-national","category-politics","tag-2027-election","tag-abdulahi-ganduje","tag-apc","tag-bola-tinubu"],"yoast_head":"\n
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