It hasn’t been the smoothest week for Bitcoin. The current value of bitcoin took a big hit, falling around 9% and spending time as low as $104,582. That’s a slide from last week’s high above $125,000, and if you’re following bitcoin market trends, you’ll know this correction was felt across other coins, too.
While Bitcoin dipped about 7%, Ethereum and XRP saw losses over 13%. What’s interesting is that Bitcoin actually held up better than the others, which has folks wondering about the next move.
This week’s shakeup led to some wild activity in the markets. On October 11th, nearly $9.5 billion got wiped out due to forced liquidations, $2.46 billion of that was in Bitcoin alone. One single order was worth $15.5 million, which says a lot about how much leverage traders are using these days.
At the same time, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw $3.2 billion of fresh money come in, marking the second-biggest increase since they were approved. So, even as short-term traders bailed, money is still pouring into bitcoin.
Here’s what the numbers looked like at the worst of the downturn:
| Metric | Value |
|---|---|
| Price Low | $104,582 |
| Weekly High | $125,456 |
| Price as of Oct 11 | $112,280 |
| 24h Trading Volume | $183.27 Billion |
| Market Cap | $2.24 Trillion |
| All-time High | $124,517 (Aug 2025) |
Even in the middle of this mess, people kept buying. Total Bitcoin holders jumped from 56.92 million to 56.98 million in a single day. That’s usually a signal that long-term investors aren’t spooked too much by this kind of drop.
No full-on panic, at least not from everyone. If you’re looking for a bitcoin price prediction, the short-term outlook might be shaky, but the investment outlook for long-term holders still looks stubbornly confident.
On-Chain Metrics and Holder Behavior Amid Volatility
One of the big things to watch with market corrections like this is who’s actually making the moves. The data tells an interesting story. As selling heated up, there was a big spike in coins being spent by recent buyers, but long-term holders mostly sat on their hands. The spent coins age band metric (SCAB) jumped to 23,086 BTC for young coins, while coins held for years barely budged.
This hints that a lot of the selling came from newer or middle-term investors, not the veterans, folks who have already sat through bigger storms and don’t flinch easily unless things look really bleak.
As for predicting where things go next, the market seems to be going through its usual reset. When old-school holders stay cool and new buyers step in at lower prices, it often sets up the next chapter. The bitcoin investment outlook right now is still being shaped by these types of bottom-fishing buys and whale patience.
All in all, if you keep an eye on these on-chain moves and how different types of holders react, you get a clearer picture of where support might build up or where the weak spots are hiding. The current value of bitcoin might look bumpy through the week, but the broader market seems to be waiting for its next signal, whether that’s a bigger drop or a rebound.
For anyone watching bitcoin price prediction and market trends, every sharp decline seems to just bring in a new batch of buyers.
Technical Patterns Shaping the Bitcoin Price USD Chart
Bitcoin’s price chart has thrown out a few head-scratchers this week. The swings have been wild, but underneath, some patterns are hard to ignore. There’s the ongoing conversation about whether the price can stay above $100,000, but oddly enough, those technical details usually tell the next chapter before the headlines do.
RSI Divergences and Their Impact on Trend Direction
This week, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been the big talk. Earlier this year, traders watched a predictive bearish RSI divergence lead to a huge drop, about 19%. That pattern popped up again from mid-July to early October: Bitcoin set fresh highs, but RSI started sinking. When the two split paths, it was a warning light. Sure enough, the price rolled over, dragging a lot of over-leveraged traders with it.
But things have suddenly flipped. Since late September, there’s been what’s called a bullish divergence. Price dropped lower but the RSI held up and moved higher. This doesn’t mean an instant recovery, but it does hint that selling could be running out of steam. It’s almost like the market is quietly preparing for a rebound, even if it’s not shouting it yet.
Critical Support and Resistance Levels to Watch This Week
Bitcoin bounced from just above $102,000, racing back past $111,000, and now seems glued near the $111,600 area. If you look at the Fibonacci levels (which many traders track for clues), $111,400 has become a battleground.
A strong push above this could bring targets like $113,600, then maybe $116,800 or $120,800 back on the radar. On the other side, falling under $109,100 could shake out more buyers. If it can’t hold $101,900 on a daily close, well, then the door to sub-$100,000 prices starts creaking open. But so far, that still seems like a stretch based on the current tape.
Here’s how the key levels stack up right now:
| Level | Area | What Happens Next |
|---|---|---|
| $101,900 | Support | Close below = big drop risk |
| $109,100 | Support | Close below = correction risk |
| $111,400 | Resistance | Close above = bullish push |
| $113,600 | Resistance | Further upside opens |
| $116,800 | Resistance | Target for renewed strength |
| $120,800 | Resistance | Last major bullish hurdle |
Traders are watching these like hawks. The market’s been full of drama, but after weeks of churn, every close at these levels can spark a reaction from either side. And if you’re staring at the charts, sometimes the numbers tell you more about what’s coming than any news headline.
Macro Forces Driving Bitcoin Price USD in 2025
The people watching Bitcoin this year are pretty much glued to the news about inflation, what’s going on with the US dollar, and where the big money keeps flowing in. The factors affecting Bitcoin price have changed a bit since last cycle, and now there’s more attention on things like ETF flows, big companies adding it to their portfolios, and inflation that just won’t cool down.
Here’s what’s moving the market picture as of October 2025, and what could matter most going forward.
Inflation, Currency Weakness, and Institutional Buying
It seems like every quarter, we hope inflation’s going to slow down, but it refuses to budge. According to the last Consumer Price Index reading, prices are up around 2.9% from a year ago. That may not sound massive, but when the Fed keeps missing its 2% target and regular savings keep shrinking in value, more folks rethink where they park their wealth.
For many, Bitcoin fits that bill. The idea is simple enough: It’s capped at 21 million coins, so central banks can’t just print more and water it down like the dollar or euro.
When the dollar is weak, that’s generally been good for Bitcoin. And right now, most currency experts think the dollar’s going to keep losing some ground, especially with more interest rate cuts on the table. This usually means investors start hedging with things seen as limited, like gold or Bitcoin.
Here’s how some of the macro numbers look lately:
| Metric | Value (October 2025) |
|---|---|
| US Inflation (YoY) | 2.9% |
| Dollar Index (DXY) | -5% YTD |
| Bitcoin Price (USD) | $112,280 |
| All-Time High (USD) | $124,517 |
| Market Cap (BTC) | $2.24 trillion |
| Bitcoin Circulating | 19.93 million |
Big institutions are also reshaping this market. It’s not just hedge funds anymore, there are insurance funds, pensions, and family offices tucking away a piece of their portfolios in Bitcoin. Every time these buyers move in with size, it puts upward pressure on price, thanks to the coin’s fixed supply.
ETF Inflows and the Growing Role of Corporate Treasuries
Ever since Bitcoin ETFs got the green light in the US, the demand story really took off. Last week alone, spot Bitcoin ETFs saw another $3.2 billion in inflows, almost matching their best week ever. What’s interesting here is that every time someone buys a share of a Bitcoin ETF, those asset managers need to go out and buy actual Bitcoin to back it. That’s a steady stream of new buying, even if retail trading is choppy or flat.
Then there are corporate treasuries (think MicroStrategy and a number of newer companies) that treat Bitcoin as a kind of long-term cash reserve. They don’t trade it; they just keep adding every month or quarter. This is starting to look like another persistent, price-insensitive bid that can soak up big chunks of supply, regardless of short-term volatility.
In short, the factors affecting Bitcoin price in 2025 are a mix of old and new ingredients, persistent inflation, a weakening global currency outlook, growing institutional adoption, and fresh ETF demand.
There’s a push-pull between short-term fear about corrections and these broader, sturdier forces that weren’t in play five years ago. If those continue, it’s pretty likely the floor under Bitcoin price keeps edging higher.